Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.894103 1.020429 1.158059 1.319125 1.502448 1.704624 1.944539
2025-02-16 0.700234 0.873223 1.078634 1.340482 1.665455 2.055658 2.560094
2025-02-23 0.572694 0.760077 0.996447 1.316407 1.738353 2.276095 3.014248
2025-03-02 0.489019 0.682965 0.940008 1.305468 1.811918 2.489523 3.466352
2025-03-09 0.431292 0.629556 0.903819 1.310708 1.899305 2.720659 3.955956
2025-03-16 0.385390 0.585278 0.872599 1.315418 1.981087 2.945617 4.452287
2025-03-23 0.349879 0.550932 0.850236 1.327864 2.071501 3.186651 4.989903
2025-03-30 0.310419 0.505520 0.805572 1.300131 2.095627 3.327173 5.383596
2025-04-06 0.277015 0.465568 0.764525 1.272434 2.114701 3.458125 5.769746
2025-04-13 0.245252 0.424655 0.717419 1.229253 2.102838 3.536005 6.072978
2025-04-20 0.238613 0.424903 0.737255 1.298231 2.281967 3.939097 6.951714
2025-04-27 0.230981 0.422468 0.751940 1.359057 2.451560 4.338907 7.858308
2025-05-04 0.221235 0.415680 0.759052 1.408338 2.607444 4.732108 8.796433
2025-05-11 0.208166 0.401549 0.751828 1.431097 2.717782 5.054710 9.637827
2025-05-18 0.189776 0.375508 0.720289 1.405404 2.735347 5.209244 10.179140
2025-05-25 0.175191 0.355248 0.697492 1.393730 2.777512 5.411423 10.826722
2025-06-01 0.164170 0.340852 0.684414 1.399322 2.852836 5.681359 11.627807
2025-06-08 0.154103 0.327360 0.671775 1.404349 2.926898 5.953937 12.456554
2025-06-15 0.145792 0.316659 0.663671 1.417632 3.018405 6.267749 13.395459
2025-06-22 0.133968 0.297373 0.636255 1.388034 3.017828 6.393967 13.952878
2025-06-29 0.123250 0.279440 0.610041 1.358475 3.014335 6.513001 14.503880
2025-07-06 0.112073 0.259426 0.577614 1.312391 2.970684 6.542945 14.862466
2025-07-13 0.111700 0.263746 0.598400 1.386007 3.197644 7.173064 16.605542